BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison Trinity

Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (15-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   79.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2009 Away    W *  62.73  62   43   1A  105 ( 5-18) Fairfield Maharishi   -14.94 *   33.94                      
  2 12/04/2009 Away    L *  80.96  44   54   2A   14 (22- 2) Danville                3.28    -13.28                      
  3 12/05/2009 Away    W    74.97  62   51   3A   61 ( 2-18) Fort Madison           -2.70     13.70                      
  4 12/11/2009 Home    L *  65.22  27   41   1A    6 (21- 3) Notre Dame            -12.46     -1.54                      
  5 12/15/2009 Away    W *  79.86  47   44   2A   37 (15- 6) Central Lee             2.18      0.82                      
  6 12/18/2009 Home    W *  77.76  51   20   2A  120 ( 7-14) West Burlington         0.08 *   30.92                      
  7 12/19/2009 Away    W *  83.53  70   28   1A  114 ( 5-17) New London              5.86 *   36.14                      
  8 01/09/2010 Away    W *  88.92  83   26   1A  123 ( 1-20) Farmington Harmony     11.24 *   45.76  was 01/05 now 01/09 
  9 01/11/2010 Away    W *  72.50  44   43   2A   58 (13- 9) Keosauqua Van Buren    -5.17      6.17  was 01/08 now 01/11 
 10 01/12/2010 Home    W *  68.85  48   20   1A  105 ( 5-18) Fairfield Maharishi    -8.83 *   36.83                      
 11 01/15/2010 Home    W *  93.07  77   72   2A   14 (22- 2) Danville               15.39    -10.39                      
 12 01/18/2010 Home    W *  75.41  74   46   2A  121 ( 5-16) Eldon Cardinal         -2.26 *   30.26  was 12/08 now 01/18 
 13 01/19/2010 Away    W *  85.30  71   36   2A  121 ( 5-16) Eldon Cardinal          7.63 *   27.37  was 01/19           
 14 01/22/2010 Away    L *  78.10  39   43   1A    6 (21- 3) Notre Dame              0.43     -4.43                      
 15 01/23/2010 Home    W    82.99  56   39   1A   25 (13-10) Wayland WACO            5.32     11.68                      
 16 01/26/2010 Home    L *  69.97  52   56   2A   37 (15- 6) Central Lee            -7.70      3.70                      
 17 01/29/2010 Away    W *  73.64  48   24   2A  120 ( 7-14) West Burlington        -4.03 *   28.03                      
 18 02/02/2010 Home    W *  80.65  69   27   1A  114 ( 5-17) New London              2.97 *   39.03                      
 19 02/05/2010 Home    W *  64.03  63   28   1A  123 ( 1-20) Farmington Harmony    -13.65 *   48.65                      
 20 02/12/2010 Home    W    93.32  47   29   2A   25 (17- 6) Packwood Pekin         15.65      2.35                      
 21 02/18/2010 Home    W *  63.65  61   36   1A  114 ( 5-17) New London            -14.03 *   39.03                      
 22 02/23/2010 Away    W *  83.10  42   41   1A    6 (21- 3) Notre Dame              5.43     -4.43                      
 23 02/25/2010 Neutral W    91.94  60   53   1A    7 (22- 3) Iowa Mennonite         14.26     -7.26                      
 24 02/27/2010 Neutral L    73.75  46   52   1A    9 (25- 3) Lynnville-Sully        -3.92     -2.08                      
      Averages              77.68  56.0 39.7

Best game:   93.32 = 18 point win over Packwood Pekin
Worst game:  62.73 = 19 point win over Fairfield Maharishi
Team stdev:   9.22